IMF schedule shows Fed Chair Warsh set to speak one day before blackout period begins

The International Monetary Fund’s schedule shows that Federal Reserve Chair Warsh is due to appear and speak at the IMF annual meeting in Bangkok at 11:30 a.m. Beijing time on Oct. 16. The appearance is notable because it falls on the final day before Federal Reserve officials enter the blackout period ahead of the Oct. 27-28 policy meeting. According to the source, the market is currently pricing in a pause in rate hikes at the Fed’s October meeting, with the probability put at about 80%. After that, expectations point to another rate increase in December. The event timing places Warsh’s remarks close to a key point in the policy calendar, as investors continue to watch signals around the Fed’s near-term rate path.